Thursday, December 28, 2006

Early Iowa Poll Shows Surprising Results

KCCI-TV/Research 2000 has conducted a poll of Iowans asking them for whom they will vote in the 2008 caucuses. The Democratic voters chose this:

Barack Obama.................22%
John Edwards..................23%
Hillary Clinton................10%
Al Gore.............................7%
John Kerry.......................5%
Dennis Kucinich..............4%
Wesley Clark...................4%
A bunch of people with less than 1%.

Prediction: Vilsack gets 10%. Gore doesn't run: Hillary gets 5% and Obama gets 2%. Kerry doesn't run and Hillary gets his 5%. Edwards loses 8%: 6% goes to Hillary and 2% goes to Obama. Obama loses 5-7% to Hillary. Undecideds move to Hillary and Obama. Final Result:
Hillary Clinton...............38%
Barack Obama...............25%
John Edwards................15%
Tom Vilsack...................10%
Dennis Kucinich..............4%
Wesley Clark...................3%
Joe Biden.........................3%
Others with less than 1%.

Republicans chose:
John McCain...................27%
Rudy Giuliani..................26%
Mitt Romney...................9%
Newt Gingrich.................7%
Condi Rice........................4%
Others with less than 1%.

Prediction: Romney's stock will double without hurting anyone, McCain's stock will fall 5-10%, Condi Rice won't run and her 4% will go to Romney. Romney and McCain take 10% each of Giuliani's showing. Final Result:
Mitt Romney....................36%
John McCain....................32%
Rudy Giuliani...................10%
Newt Gingrich.................10%
Sam Brownback...............5%
Mike Huckabee................5%
George Pataki..................1%

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