Republican #2

Sen. George Allen (R-VA)
With the radical Christian right upset at the fact that President Bush did not nominate total extremists to the Supreme Court, they will not trust John McCain to carry out their agenda. With the Republicans desperately trying to rebuild their former stature, they have realized an important fact. With the Democrats doing so well, they might lose either Florida or Ohio in 2008. Former Virginia governor Mark Warner is very dangerous to them, and the Republicans basically lose if they lose Virginia. Fortunately for them, they have Senator Allen. He is a VERY strong conservative who has been rated very highly by every major conservative interest group, and essentially 0 by all of the liberal ones. He would be adored by the Christian Right. They constitute such a large portion of the Republican electorate that it is almost impossible to receive the nomination without their help. If in fact McCain does recieve the nomination, anticipate someone like Allen running as a third party candidate. Without the help of the Republican base, McCain could be in trouble. Allen, though, has been recently hurt by a loss of momentum, and now it appears that even if he is the nominee, he will STILL lose Virginia to Mark Warner. Therefore, his primary chances are about 1:3, and IF he gets the nomination, his chances against Warner are 2:3. However, don't expect the far right to be satisfied with McCain.