Republican #1

1. Sen. John McCain (R) Arizona
After eight years of President Bush, the Republican party will be in shambles. With plummeting approval ratings for Bush, Republicans in Congress, the war in Iraq, the economy, and many other issues, many Republicans will jump ship to save their careers. John McCain is known in every household in the country, as he receives so much media attention. Although he is no moderate, (he always voted for oil drilling in the Artic Wildlife Refuge, to ban "partial birth" abortion and stem cell research, and supported the Federal Marriage Amendment, a rejected amendment that would have prohibited Gay Marriage. He recieved very low ratings from the NAACP, the Brady Campaign against Gun Violence, and voted many times to cut education, food stamps, and welfare spending) McCain was shot down and tortured in Vietnam, and the public views him as an independent thinker because he occaisonally disagrees with the radical policies of the current administration. Due to Allen and Frist's loss of momentum, if will take an unforseen upheaval to get the nomination to somebody else.

Republican #2

Sen. George Allen (R-VA)
With the radical Christian right upset at the fact that President Bush did not nominate total extremists to the Supreme Court, they will not trust John McCain to carry out their agenda. With the Republicans desperately trying to rebuild their former stature, they have realized an important fact. With the Democrats doing so well, they might lose either Florida or Ohio in 2008. Former Virginia governor Mark Warner is very dangerous to them, and the Republicans basically lose if they lose Virginia. Fortunately for them, they have Senator Allen. He is a VERY strong conservative who has been rated very highly by every major conservative interest group, and essentially 0 by all of the liberal ones. He would be adored by the Christian Right. They constitute such a large portion of the Republican electorate that it is almost impossible to receive the nomination without their help. If in fact McCain does recieve the nomination, anticipate someone like Allen running as a third party candidate. Without the help of the Republican base, McCain could be in trouble. Allen, though, has been recently hurt by a loss of momentum, and now it appears that even if he is the nominee, he will STILL lose Virginia to Mark Warner. Therefore, his primary chances are about 1:3, and IF he gets the nomination, his chances against Warner are 2:3. However, don't expect the far right to be satisfied with McCain.

Saturday, June 3, 2006

Sorry, I've gotten a little behind the times. Here is the news for the 3rd. I will try to catch up quickly.
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George Allen: Loses a heap of points for having (many years ago) a confederate flag and noose hanging in his office

Mark Warner: Has Jerome Armstrong on the payroll of his Forward Together PAC. Armstrong started MyDD, one of the most popular liberal blogs. It gets several hundred thousand visitors per day.............is campaigning madly all over Virginia for the opponents of Republican senator George Allen. Allen is a likely candidate in 2008.

Bill Frist: Loses points because his 2000 senate campaign was recently fined $11,000 by the FEC.

Hillary Clinton: Is losing ground in Florida - a recent Quinnipiac University poll found her barely leading George Allen and Mitt Romney, who are barely known in the state - and trailing John McCain and Rudy Giuliani by five or six points apiece. However, I repeat that if the Democrats go Warner-Bayh, they can lose Florida and not care at all.